Breakdown of DREAM Lightweight Grand Prix Round 1

Posted March 15, 2008 by admin

MMAPredictions Breakdown

DREAM Lightweight Grand Prix Round 1 took place in Japan today. Perhaps the most important news of the card was the result of the fight between JZ Calvancanti and Shinya Aoki. At 3:46 into the first round, Calvancanti delivered an elbow to the back of Aoki’s neck, a rule infraction that caused the fight to be ruled a no-contest.

jz calvancanti shinya aoki
Calvancanti punches from inside Aoki’s guard prior to the illegal elbow. Photo courtesy DREAM.

Here is how our predictors performed here on MMAPredictions for the Japanese event, which you can see by going to the card’s detailed results page.

  • 224 MMAPredictions users predicted on tonight’s card.
  • Just two people were able to correctly predict every fight on the card. Congratulations, THEUFCKID and JimMancini!
  • The average of all our users’ prediction accuracies for the card’s nine fights on MMAPredictions was 70.1%, making this card more way predictable than most fight cards here on the site, which tend to be in the low fifties.

Most easily-predicted fight outcome: Crocop vs Tatsuya Mizuno. Every single one of the predictors on this event predicted that Crocop would win. That’s right: it was unanimous. I don’t recall ever seeing that on MMAPredictions. No fight that is so predictable should ever be made. Let’s not forget too that three other fights on the card were correctly predicted by 95% of predictors. I think I see a trend here.

Most surprising fight outcome: Katsuhiko Nagata vs. Artur Oumakhanov. Nagata proved 90% of the predictors wrong on this card.

Next up on MMAPredictions.com: WEC 33. Lots of fights on that card although we won’t get to see the Paulo Filho vs Chael Sonnen fight we were hoping for now that Filho’s checked himself into a substance abuse treatment center. Good luck!

- Caleb

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