MMAPredictions

Well lightning did not strike twice tonight in Montreal at UFC 83. Although 14% of our predictors here on MMAPredictions.com thought that Matt Serra would beat George St. Pierre for the second time, he was unable to repeat the unlikely victory he enjoyed over GSP at UFC 69: Shootout, and now St. Pierre is the welterweight champion of the UFC once again.

Here is a snapshot of how our predictors performed here on MMAPredictions.com for the event overall, which you can see by going to the card’s detailed results page.

• 616 MMAPredictions users predicted on tonight’s card.
• One person of those 616 predicted every fight correctly. Way to go RicksonFan! More details on this below.
• The average of all our users’ prediction accuracies for the card’s 11 fights on MMAPredictions was 63.4% making this card more predictable than most.. Since MMAPredictions’ inception, the average prediction accuracy across all fight cards is in the low fifties.

Most easily-predicted fight outcome: We have a tie for this category again! Ninety-four percent of users knew that Mac Danzig and Michael Bisping would win their respective fights against Mark Bocek and Charles McCarthy. Ninety-four percent of people knowing anything is unusual, so in sport when outcome should be hard to predict, this sort of matchmaking is less-than-desirable.

Most surprising fight outcome: Jason Day’s first round TKO of Alan Belcher. Only 18% of predictors thought Day would defeat the seasoned Belcher, who made his UFC debut way back at UFC 62: Liddell vs Sobral.

As you know well by now, there was a contest to see who could best predict the outcomes of UFC 83’s fights to see who would win the copy of Matt Hughes‘ book Made in America: The Most Dominant Champion in UFC History. I posted a note on our forums saying that many people had tied for first place and that all had gotten one fight incorrect. Shortly thereafter I received an email from our MMAPredictions user RicksonFan saying that his profile revealed that he had gotten 100% of the UFC 83 fights correct. I am not sure why some parts of the MMAPredictions system identified him as having missed one fight. I asked our site’s developers to see whether RicksonFan did indeed get all fights correct and they have confirmed that he in fact, did. They’re also going to see if they can find out why the snafu happened. Ah, web sites, right? In any case, congratulations RicksonFan, I will get your address from you shortly and get that book in the mail to you!

Next up on MMAPredictions.com is the Japanese event DREAM 2 which takes place on Tuesday April 29. I am very excited about this one. As a BJJ guy I get excited whenever Jacare is in action!

- Caleb

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