MMAPredictions

Okay it’s time to look at how our predictors on MMAPredictions.com predicted and performed on UFC 84: Ill Will. To me there were some pretty interesting facts revealed this time around that I did not expect.

I expected half of our predictors to think Sean Sherk was going to beat BJ Penn and half to say Penn would win, in the same way Anderson Silva and Dan Henderson each got half of our predictors’ votes for UFC 82. I was very wrong! Eighty-one percent knew BJ Penn would win!

Here is a snapshot of how our predictors performed here on MMAPredictions.com for the event overall, which you can see by going to the card’s detailed results page.

• 636 MMAPredictions users predicted on the card.
• The average of all our users’ prediction accuracies for the card’s 11 fights on MMAPredictions was 64.1% making these fights as a whole more predictable than most MMA events. Since MMAPredictions’ inception, the average prediction accuracy across all fight cards is 54.6%.

Most easily-predicted fight outcome: Ninety-eight percent of our predictors knew that Thiago Silva was going to remain undefeated after his encounter with Antonio Mendes. That is most likely due to Silva being undefeated and Mendes not being a familiar entity to UFC fans.

Most surprising fight outcome: Roger Gracie-trained Goran Reljic’s victory over Wilson Gouveia was only predicted by 23 percent of users here. This match actually turned out to be the UFC Fight of the Night and each combatant won $75,000 for putting on such an entertaining fight, according to MMAMania!

Next up on MMAPredictions.com is the CBS Elite XC Saturday Night Fights which takes place in Saturday on Saturday. This could indeed turn out to be the turning point it has been billed to be, with all the hype surrounding Kimbo Slice versus James Thompson and Gina Carano versus Kaitlin Young.

- Caleb

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